Facebook and the Turkish Developer Community

Facebook-turk

As of today, there are 11,818,880 users on Facebook who live in Turkey and are over the age of 18.  This figure is according to the self-service ad module on Facebook.  I certainly concede there are many duplicate accounts in this figure, but I think it would be safe to assume that there are over 8m unique Turkish users of Facebook.  In fact, comScore estimates 5.5m average daily visitors for the month of August 2009.

This is enormous traffic.  To put this in perspective, MSN Turkey estimated the Turkish internet user population at 12-14m in August 2006.  As far as the Turkish market is concerned, Facebook is now nearly as big as the entire internet was just three years ago.

As an venture capital investor focused on the Turkish market, this makes me extremely excited.  It should surprise no one that almost everyday, I receive a business plan for a Facebook app-driven venture that plans to capitalize on the strong engagement Facebook enjoys in Turkey.

Or should it?

The previous paragraph is a lie.  I am amazed at the way Turkish internet developers are ignoring this enormous potential.  When you look at the most popular apps on Facebook, there is not a single Turkish app.  The same is true for app developers.

Two weeks ago, a Turkish app named Senin İçin jumped to the top of fastest growing apps list, with an MAU of 681K.  This week, they are nowhere to be seen, having only grown to 815K.  Very notable, though, is the presence of another app, also named Senin İçin! (BTW; I thought FB would filter out apps with the same/similar names.)

I think Facebook represents a phenomenal opportunity for Turkish developers.  Facebook's growth in Turkey has proven that viral growth works here, with the right incentives and hooks.  Zynga is showing everyone that you can attain revenues thru FB apps.  I would bet that at least 5% of Zynga's reported $100m+ revenues are coming from Turkey.  How many Turkish internet companies can boast of similar revenue traction?

I will be keenly watching to see if the Turkish developer community wakes up to this opportunity.

Image credit:  Taylanbey

European Tech Tour – Web & Mobility Summit

ETT_Logo_Home This year I am on the selection committee for the ETT Web & Mobility Summit.  My focus will be mainly on the startups from Turkey and the region and I am looking forward to helping some of the great companies that have emerged from our geography get more European exposure.

If you are an entrepreneur, I strongly suggest applying to present at the summit.

I also have a guest blog, in Turkish, on Webrazzi on the topic.

Turkish Online News

Online news is an interesting category in the Turkish internet market.  There are 22, I repeat, 22 websites at which you can read news in the top 100 web properties in Turkey, according to Alexa. (That number includes newspaper sites, online news sites, large portals with a major "news" category and sports news.)  This is quite an anomaly.  To compare, that number is 10 in the UK.

Most of these websites either take news content prepared for an offline news outlet and repurpose it for online consumption.  Others just aggregate and shallowly edit the wire services output.  There are even others that strive to replicate a traditional news production environment to feed into pure online consumption.

What seems to be missing in the Turkish market is a born-on-the-web news property, explicitly designed and tech-enabled for online consumption, that creates a community around itself.  I think there's quite a bit of overlap between what I am trying to describe and what Umair Haque talks about in his Nichepaper Manifesto:

Nichepapers are different because they have built a profound mastery
of a tightly defined domain — finance, politics, even entertainment —
and offer audiences deep, unwavering knowledge of it.

Nichepapers aren't a new product, service, or business model. They are a new institution. They're
a living example of the institutional innovation that is the key to
21st century business. They're not the same old newspaper, sold a
different way. They are 21st century newspapers, built on new rules,
that are letting radical innovators reinvent what "news" is.

According to Umair, the model involves the following tenets: 

Knowledge, not news.

Commentage, not commentary.

Topics, not articles.

Scarcity, not circulation.

Now, not then.

Provocation, not perfection.

Snowballs, not sell-outs.

Tasks, not tech.

These points describe a fantastic starting point. I think there would be a prize for the property that is able to accomplish the above points in the Turkish market.  The closest example I can think of is the HuffPo.  Umair adds Talking Points Memo, Perez Hilton and, one of my favorite websites, Business Insider.

However, I am trying to define a property that is beyond Umair's
nichepaper.  They could work in niches and narrowly focused topics.  But, I suspect, in the news-hungry Turkish market, a property incorporating these principles can succeed with a broader, generalist focus, as well.  In fact, the economics of Turkish online advertising may dictate that it becomes broader focused to attain critical traffic mass enough for major advertising access.

Turkey has 7th Largest and Most Engaged Online Audience in Europe

Anyone watching the Turkish internet market would not be surprised by this press release from comScore today. 

“The online population of Turkey far surpasses the rest of Europe in
terms of time spent and content consumed per person,” said Mike Read,
SVP and managing director, comScore Europe. “Much of this heavy
engagement is driven by usage of social networking and entertainment
media sites, which maintain users’ attention for extended periods of
time. There are certainly excellent digital marketing and advertising
opportunities in reaching these 17 million Internet users who are so
engaged with the medium.”

Turkey's sheer size is a factor here but old media's lack of innovation will continue to drive the young masses online, just as Facebook demonstrated.  Monetization of this massive level of engagement is not mature yet, but will follow.

This is an exciting day for Turkish internet.

PS:  Congratulations to our portfolio company, GittiGidiyor, for its placement in the Top 15 properties list.

13 Brilliant Tips from Paul Graham

I'm a Paul Graham fan.  I think he brings clarity of thought to a fairly soft area: Entrepreneurship.  Here are his 13 things to tell a startup.

1. Pick good cofounders.
2. Launch fast.
3. Let your idea evolve.
4. Understand your users.
5. Better to make a few users love you than a lot ambivalent.
6. Offer surprisingly good customer service.
7. You make what you measure.
8. Spend little.
9. Get ramen profitable.
10. Avoid distractions.
11. Don't get demoralized.
12. Don't give up.
13. Deals fall through.

To this, especially for startups in Turkey, I'd add:

  • Don't wait.  You are usually the only barrier to getting going, not lack of funding or time.
  • Pick depth.  Shallow markets are a problem in turkey.  If you go too niche, you may never get to even "ramen profitable".  Turkish market, in many cases, is itself a niche.  Be careful diving in, as the water may be too shallow.

You can read further thoughts on these at Paul's blog.

Yahoo Looking at Emerging Markets…

So we should be looking right back at Yahoo.

In another leaked memo yesterday, Yahoo's new CEO Bartz is telling other Yahoos:

“While I was still at Autodesk, I traveled extensively through these
emerging markets and am a strong, strong believer in the opportunities
that are out there,” Bartz wrote.

While I am a bit skeptical about the relevance of Autodesk's business (software) to Yahoo's (digital media), and thus the relevance of her observations here, it's nevertheless an exciting quote for those of us in the emerging markets.  Yahoo's been largely ignoring Turkey so far and maybe that's about to change.

Turkish Site on Searchblog

It's not everyday that John Battelle writes about a Turkish company, so this one's worthwhile.  Apparently, a Turkish Flash game site called Oyuncambazi.com (no link!) has been comment-spamming John's blog.  He finally blogged about it and given his high high authority on Google, this post is now the second organic return for a search on "oyuncambazi".

This is really amusing as I hate comment-spam, which costs me a couple of minutes a day, even with my low trafic blog!

Sirius XM Never Made Sense to Me

Sirius XM, the digital radio co, is trading at $0.20, off its 52 week high of $3.94.  It's 95% down from that peak and about 99.7% down from its all-time high circa 2000.  Still, it's a company with $1b+ revenues, so it's not insignificant.  It's run by Mel Karmazin, who personifies old media to me.

I am not a bit surprised by the state of the company.  I never got satellite radio.  I presumed it's targeted at cars and delivered a constant, high quality signal so it was an improvement over traditional radio, but the high cost of equipment replacement and the high cost of subscription was always a barrier for me to ever become a customer.

Then I realized that the entire venture was dependent on biz dev relationships, which, for me, is the worst kind of competitive advantage for a business.  And in this case, this dependency was with car manufactureres.  The satellite radio companies were trying to get their equipment as standard accessories in cars, turning around and cutting expensive proprietary content deals, to turn and squeeze value out of customers.

This is so far from value at the edge.  So much of old media still does not get what business they are in.  I see this currently at play in Turkey, where the leading satellite TV provider, Digiturk, is trying to sell me Tivo capabilities for $500 for the box plus an increase in my $70/mo subscription.  Are they nuts?  I got my digital cable plus PVR plus unlimited local and national calls plus broadband in NYC (a very expensive city) in 2005 for less than $100/month.

Old media should look at their strategy, then at Sirius XM, and rethink.  Fast.

Banning YouTube Does Not Work

I had not heard that the US Army had banned YouTube in May 2007.  Its reasoning: "security and bandwidth issues".

Now the Army is announcing the launch of an alternative video sharing site, TroopTube.  The move is being called "a "retention tool" aimed at a generation of soldiers who bring laptops to the front lines."

What they don't get is that YouTube is not a video sharing site, it is a part of people's lives.  Their retention tool will not work.  It will not replace YouTube.  Just the way that USA Today they drop outside your door at hotels does not replace your NY Times, even though they both give you news.

What they also don't get, just like the Turkish courts don't, is that banning YouTube does not keep a population from accessing it.  I am sure there will be leaks of sensitive information from military ranks through the multitude of channels available for sharing information. 

YouTube, which has been banned in Turkey for months, is still the #11 most popular website in Turkey, accoding to Alexa.  It woud have been Top 5 had it not been for the ban, but still, it's way ahead of all the alternative video sites.

What a waste of taxpayer's money, in both cases.