Here We Go Spammers: Facebook Vanity URLs

I plan to write a longer post on my thoughts on this issue, but I am pushed for time right now, so this will be brief.

Facebook's decision to allow vanity urls/usernames is creating a landrush and is against its most basic premise:  all members are there with their real identity.  This can lead to spam-like messaging proliferation.  There have been discussions on how this will be good for SEO but that supports my point.  SEO is gaming the system.  In a liquid search environment, there should not be need for SEO.

The same's true for Twitter.  The landgrab of twitter usernames erodes Twitters authenticity.  And social media needs to be authentic to succeed.

Show Me Ads I Want

Google does a good job with this since it knows my intentions.  It's more difficult for the New York Times.  However, I spend a lot of attention on non-interactive media – wacthing TV shows, reading news on the web or playing games.  Some of that attention would be valuable to advertisers.

So here comes the "Digg for Ads" model.  It makes sense.  Jeff Jarvis does a great job of explaining why.

This may be one of the ways Turkish online advertising breaks through the rut it's in.

Nobody’s Tweeting

The header is not true.  However, Twitter usage is shaping up as significantly different compared to other social media.  According to Harvard Business Review:

Twitter's usage patterns are also very different from a typical
on-line social network. A typical Twitter user contributes very rarely.
Among Twitter users, the median number of lifetime tweets per user is one. This translates into over half of Twitter users tweeting less than once every 74 days.

twitter research 2.jpg

At the same time there is a small contingent of users who are very active. Specifically, the top 10% of prolific Twitter users accounted for over 90% of tweets. On a typical online social network, the top 10% of users account for 30% of all production.

This is very very intriguing.  First of all, Twitter is growing faster than any previous social media property, in terms of users.  Look at this graph from Compete:

Yet, the new users are not tweeting.  The median number of tweets is 1!  This is mindblowing.  To me, this makes Twitter look more like a TV broadcaster than a true social media property.  These 20+ million Twitter users are all following Shaq and Ashton Kutcher, and maybe that's it.

The only business disruption of Twitter so far seems to be its assault on RSS.  Even with Google Reader, RSS had never broken into the mainstream.  Maybe it never will.

UPDATE: Jeremy Liew's picked up the same point and also remembered that Nielsen reported on Twitter's poor retention track record.

Currently, more than 60 percent of U.S. Twitter users fail to return
the following month, or in other words, Twitter’s audience retention
rate, or the percentage of a given month’s users who come back the
following month, is currently about 40 percent. For most of the past 12
months, pre-Oprah, Twitter has languished below 30 percent retention.

I don't want to sound like a Twitter bear, because I am not.  I think Twitter's an example of the exciting opportunities the connectedness of the internet opens up.  However, we tend to group many things under social media these days and I suspect we're bundling models with very different characteristics.  I am trying to digest and understand the taxonomy and recognize the patterns.

Twitter Hyped by marketers?

A cool discussion emerged in the comments of Fabrice's latest post and I wanted to reflect it as a seperate topic here.

Fabrice proposed:

I am skeptical about all the hype around Twitter.

Comparing Facebook and Twitter, over 50% of Facebook’s 200 million
active users login every day. 60% of Twitter users stop using it after
a month. I personally find Facebook much more relevant to my personal
life – I like seeing pictures, relationship status changes, etc.

In the comments, I pointed to an earlier post with my similar feelings and Chris Abraham, who seems to have a very well-developed perspective on Twitter, countered with a long comment:

Twitter does everything right where Second Life failed. Second Life
was amazingly heavy, requiring lots of computer, lots of bandwidth, and
a commitment to client software; SecondLife
is a closed system, a walled city, completely invisible to serendipity
and coincidence; Second Life is greedy, pushing avarice and commerce;
Second Life is ephemeral and anti-textual, meaning that all of the work
and all of the energy one spent on Second Life invariably went away the
moment people stopped investing time and money into the platform. 
While there was a programming language, a scripting language, and lots
of room for creativity, Second Life was not nearly as agnostic and open
a platform as it could have been.

On the other hand, Twitter is open, has a fantastically generous API (Open API as opposed to a Closed API), Twitter is highly textual, highly “contagious,” and very much real time.

In many ways, the Twitter platform has become almost a fungible
INPUT / OUTPUT flow of data, like IP or like tap water, or like the
electrical mains — all the creativity and all of the development is
happening as a result of this relatively featureless and structureless
raw platform.

Everybody admits that the elegance of Facebook’s
interface does an amazing job of hand-holding the diverse levels of
technological prowess that Facebook users posses; however, Facebook
shares many things in common with Second Life: it is a walled-garden,
it is very cliquey and very hard to cross-pollenate, and finally —
Facebook works very hard at defining what the user experience is to the
best of its ability in a world where openness and open access can
oftentimes work for you instead of against you.

People who don’t get Twitter really have not spent enough time with
it.  There are tons of ways people can use Twitter.  Many people use
Twitter as an alternative to an RSS feed
news reader, following the Twitter feeds of news organizations and news
alerts, including links and so forth. Twitter doesn’t care how you use
it: passive reading or active conversation.

In fact, Twitter is such a neutral solution that you might very well
forget that you’re a member, which is why there might be a perception
that over 60% of all of the users who register never go back: Twitter
doesn’t want to be too much trouble.

Then the discussion between Chris and me veered over to the (to me) surpisingly high median age of Twitter users (31!, according to Pew), and what it meant for Twitter.  I think it's alarming and feel that it's an indication of the value of the social graph that is owned, at this pointi by Facebook.  Chris feels differently:

Well, “kids” don’t blog either. Kids won’t blog until they feel
empowered enough to start creating on their own accord or until they
find it useful — hell, “kids” might never ever take to Twitter, except
that they will want to engage with TMZ Staffers on Twitter
(@harveylevintmz @daxholt @ninaparkertmz @lmharris70 @carolynafenton
@frankvelardo) because there will be loads of kids who will get on
board to be able to stalk their favorite celebs and stars. But who
knows. Rockers and fans are still on MySpace and the “kids” have yet to
bail on Facebook (yet) so we’ll see what happens. It is very odd to see
how the median age for blogging and twittering is much older than you
would think: “the median age of a Twitter user is 31. In comparison,
the median age of a MySpace user is 27, Facebook user is 26 and
LinkedIn user is 40.7,” according to Pew, http://www.pewinternet.org/Reports/2009/Twitter-and-status-updating/Part-1/Section-3.aspx?r=1

Anyway, I think this is a very interesting issue.  It makes me think about the lack of microblogging interest in Turkey, especially given the enormous usage of SMS.  How does age play into it?  Do you need a social graph for presence communication?  Is Twitter being hyped by marketers, because it resembles a new, relatively unstructured, medium they can utilize for their clients/constituents?

What’s Wrong with Twitter that Kids won’t Use It?

Caroline McCarthy of CNET reports:

While 99 percent of 18- to 24-year-olds have profiles on social
networks, only 22 percent use Twitter, according to a new survey from
Pace University and the Participatory Media Network.

This is very interesting to me and I can not figure it out.  Is Twitter just a simple status updater for those who are not fully comfortable with Facebook?  Should it be a feature?

Turkey has 7th Largest and Most Engaged Online Audience in Europe

Anyone watching the Turkish internet market would not be surprised by this press release from comScore today. 

“The online population of Turkey far surpasses the rest of Europe in
terms of time spent and content consumed per person,” said Mike Read,
SVP and managing director, comScore Europe. “Much of this heavy
engagement is driven by usage of social networking and entertainment
media sites, which maintain users’ attention for extended periods of
time. There are certainly excellent digital marketing and advertising
opportunities in reaching these 17 million Internet users who are so
engaged with the medium.”

Turkey's sheer size is a factor here but old media's lack of innovation will continue to drive the young masses online, just as Facebook demonstrated.  Monetization of this massive level of engagement is not mature yet, but will follow.

This is an exciting day for Turkish internet.

PS:  Congratulations to our portfolio company, GittiGidiyor, for its placement in the Top 15 properties list.

Typepad Regrets

I stared blogging in May 2005.  This is my 445th blog post.  I blog about my work, early stage internet VC investments, and from time to time, my interests, including art, literature and current affairs.  SortiPreneur is not a widely-read blog.  I have found out that person-focused blogging is not a high-traffic proposition, unless the person you're focusing on is already well known.  In my case, the focus is me, and I am no celebrity.

Back in 2005, I chose TypePad as my blogging platform.  I am a paying user, paying $14.95/month, since May 2005, which means I have paid over $700 to TypePad so far.  I also neglected to set up my blog in a specific domain, such as Sortipreneur.com or Sertoglu.com.  Instead, I blog at csertoglu.typepad.com.  I now hesitate to change that due to search engine related concerns.  I initially chose TypePad because my blogging inspiration Fred Wilson was blogging on TypePad.

I now regret this choice.  A few weeks ago my U.S. issued credit card was canceled due to some fraudulent activity at a merchant I had patronized.  This cancellation kept me without that specific card for a few days, during which TypePad tried charging that card and failed.  A few days later, my account was frozen.  I could not post to or edit my blog.  When I received my new credit card, for some reason, it was still getting declined.  Also, strangely, my otherwise functioning Turkish credit cards were also being denied by TypePad, I could not blog for over 2 weeks!

If I were starting to blog today, I'd probably go with WordPress and host my blog on my own domain.  I may still opt for that, like Fred did a few months ago.